Jim Cramer
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Cramer on BloggingStocks: Dell feeds the bears
Thanks for nothing, Dell (DELL) (Cramer's Take)! Given that this market seems to care less about the good like NetApp (NTAP) (Cramer's Take), Ross Stores (ROST) (Cramer's Take) or Limited (LTD) (Cramer's Take) and is focused on the bad, like the semi-downgrade from Bank of America Merrill Lynch, I am sure that Dell will be viewed as part and parcel with the downgrade.
I can't stand Dell. I actually slam it in Getting Back to Even, taking a chance that it would get its act together and make me look bad on the very quarter the book is released. Looks like that was a lot of worry for nothing.
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Cramer on BloggingStocks: Dismiss the latest tech downgrades
When Wall Street starts looking at tech companies as they would industrials -- as they should be scrutinized -- then we will not get downgrades like Bank of America/Merrill's takedowns of Intel (INTC) (Cramer's Take) and Texas Instruments (TXN) (Cramer's Take).
The essence of these two downgrades is the looming inventory correction that everyone has feared from $14 a share onward for Intel and $18 for Texas Instruments at the start of the summer. At every step I have heard of this coming breakdown, the double ordering and the decline in demand as one analyst after another has warned us of the apocalypse around the corner.
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Cramer on BloggingStocks: Ag and shippers are the newest bull markets
During the great narrow bull market that was 2006-2007, anyone who hitched a ride on any bulk or oil carrier, any DryShips (DRYS) (Cramer's Take) or Diana (DSX) (Cramer's Take), or any Frontline (FRO) (Cramer's Take) or Nordic American Tanker (NAT) (Cramer's Take), or anyone who bought anything ag-related -- Deere (DE) (Cramer's Take), Monsanto (MON) (Cramer's Take), Potash (POT) (Cramer's Take) -- looked like a genius.
Beginning midyear last year, you looked like a moron.
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Cramer on BloggingStocks: This frustrating new market
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says there is as extreme an aversion to discipline as he can recall.
If you want to know why it is so frustrating to be buying stocks up here think no further than the Goldman Sachs (GS) (Cramer's Take) push into the high-end retail stocks, a push that, even as flexible and chameleon-like that I am, I find flabbergasting.
All year the trade has been to be buying the recovery stocks, the companies that sell the most expensive goods, and abandon the dollar stocks which peaked last year in the midst of the worst recession since the 1930s. It was plain as day.
If you want to know why it is so frustrating to be buying stocks up here think no further than the Goldman Sachs (GS) (Cramer's Take) push into the high-end retail stocks, a push that, even as flexible and chameleon-like that I am, I find flabbergasting.
All year the trade has been to be buying the recovery stocks, the companies that sell the most expensive goods, and abandon the dollar stocks which peaked last year in the midst of the worst recession since the 1930s. It was plain as day.
Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: This frustrating new market
Cramer on BloggingStocks: Oil and the equity nirvana
The Street.com's Jim Cramer says that OPEC may take oil out of the equity-market equation and make stock-picking matter again.
If OPEC says it likes an oil price in the $75-78 range, as it said today, we could be looking at a nirvana moment for stocks. We know that any time oil bounces, the S&P 500 futures go up. Any time it goes down, the S&P futures go down. But if OPEC wants to keep it right here, we take oil out of the equation and make stock-picking matter again.
Right now, the Saudis are telling the big oil-shipping companies that they want to bring 1 million barrels a day into the market straight away to keep oil below $80. That can be used to overwhelm the speculators who are tying up as much as 20% of the oil fleet in the world to keep oil off the market and buoy its price. But they will not bring the oil to the market below $75.
If OPEC says it likes an oil price in the $75-78 range, as it said today, we could be looking at a nirvana moment for stocks. We know that any time oil bounces, the S&P 500 futures go up. Any time it goes down, the S&P futures go down. But if OPEC wants to keep it right here, we take oil out of the equation and make stock-picking matter again.
Right now, the Saudis are telling the big oil-shipping companies that they want to bring 1 million barrels a day into the market straight away to keep oil below $80. That can be used to overwhelm the speculators who are tying up as much as 20% of the oil fleet in the world to keep oil off the market and buoy its price. But they will not bring the oil to the market below $75.
Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Oil and the equity nirvana
Cramer on BloggingStocks: Recognize the ludicrous pattern
From TheStreet.com Network
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says if the market made sense, you could buy retail and restaurants off the lower oil price.
Here's the pattern: We get shelled by oil. It drops to $76 or $77, all energy goes down, and it takes everything else with it. Some of tech has been spared lately because of 3Com (COMS) (Cramer's Take).
Then, in the following couple of days, oil stabilizes (but not after it hurts the oils again), rallies, and everything goes with it.
That's what's been occurring. I don't know why it's any different. In this moment in time, it's often best to buy the most hammered natural gas stocks because they come back fast. The best value is Devon (DVN) (Cramer's Take), but it simply isn't down enough. Apache (APA) (Cramer's Take) would make sense below $60, which is still a ways from here.
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Cramer on BloggingStocks: Not much time left for downside
All morning long I have listened to extended discussions about why the futures are down: Hewlett-Packard's (HPQ) (Cramer's Take) guide-up wasn't much of a guide-up, Wal-Mart's (WMT) (Cramer's Take) beat wasn't real because of the revenue, oil could be down because of the Deutsche Bank forecast.
I think it is nonsense.
There's no reason for the futures to be doing anything. We are, once again, presuming knowledge.
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Cramer on BloggingStocks: China's industrial focus helps lots of U.S. names
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says at least one country is getting it right when it comes to economic stimulus.
How in the heck can you get 16% industrial growth and lower-than-expected consumer price inflation? How is that possible? Yet that's what we saw from China last night, and that's a tonic to pretty much everyone who is waiting for our own stimulus to kick in.
And we need it.
On Monday, Fluor (FLR) (Cramer's Take), the giant construction company, when asked if it could quantify the value of stimulus dollars currently in backlog, said "Really, the only stimulus funding we have seen directly has been the award that we got at Savannah River for some nuclear soil remediation. And, it was, I would say, we're less than $0.5 billion."
How in the heck can you get 16% industrial growth and lower-than-expected consumer price inflation? How is that possible? Yet that's what we saw from China last night, and that's a tonic to pretty much everyone who is waiting for our own stimulus to kick in.
And we need it.
On Monday, Fluor (FLR) (Cramer's Take), the giant construction company, when asked if it could quantify the value of stimulus dollars currently in backlog, said "Really, the only stimulus funding we have seen directly has been the award that we got at Savannah River for some nuclear soil remediation. And, it was, I would say, we're less than $0.5 billion."
Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: China's industrial focus helps lots of U.S. names
Cramer on BloggingStocks: Investors are rethinking their snap judgments
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says that as numerous stories are mulled over anew, the reasons for selling seem silly.
The lack of important data today forces market participants to revisit stories that got tossed out over the last few weeks simply because of earnings ennui. People are now doubling back to see what they have forgotten, or more important, why they sold certain stocks they most likely shouldn't have.
For example, why did JPMorgan (JPM) (Cramer's Take) go from $47 to $44? Bad loans? Credit quality? No, not really. Nothing like that. Why did Goldman Sachs (GS) (Cramer's Take) go from $192 to the $170s? Some of it was Meredith Whitney, but there is also a sense of entitlement that makes the firm hated, as if somehow it is too much of a pariah to invest in.
The lack of important data today forces market participants to revisit stories that got tossed out over the last few weeks simply because of earnings ennui. People are now doubling back to see what they have forgotten, or more important, why they sold certain stocks they most likely shouldn't have.
For example, why did JPMorgan (JPM) (Cramer's Take) go from $47 to $44? Bad loans? Credit quality? No, not really. Nothing like that. Why did Goldman Sachs (GS) (Cramer's Take) go from $192 to the $170s? Some of it was Meredith Whitney, but there is also a sense of entitlement that makes the firm hated, as if somehow it is too much of a pariah to invest in.
Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Investors are rethinking their snap judgments
Cramer on BloggingStocks: Pelosi can't kill the health care sector
Nancy Pelosi has now said her piece. The most unpopular Speaker of the House in the history of Wall Street has gotten her precious health care legislation through the House after ramming through a stimulus package that had far too little infrastructure and far too much pay raise for municipal and state workers, the most powerful interest group in the country.
But this time the Senate sees through it, and the politicians -- despite Pelosi's insistence that Tuesday's election went her way -- know better. There are pages after pages after pages in this bill that look threatening. But here's the rub: This bill's public option, the one that is supposed to be a killer to everything health care, should affect no more than 6 million people over a 10-year period, according to the Congressional Budget Office. In order to get 60 votes in the Senate, even that may prove to be too powerful an option.
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Cramer on BloggingStocks: Standing firm but alone on housing
Lots of things are coming together for housing, but nobody seems to care. We had Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) (Cramer's Take) the other day offer attractive interest-only mortgage loans to those in trouble, a bet that eventually housing will go higher. We had Fannie (NYSE: FNM) (Cramer's Take) allow people in trouble to rent to stay in their homes, and the government is going to extend the tax credit for homebuyers and broaden it. Plus, mortgage rates went under 5% again.
But nobody cared. No one.
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Cramer on BloggingStocks: All I'm asking for is rigor
Oh boy, I hit a nerve. My last two days of donning the bear suit and imitating the bears has brought on a cacophony of critics, all of whom think that I am attacking them personally! That's right, they think I have read them, seen them and heard them and that I am spoofing them or making fun of them.
Moreover, they think that I am wildly bullish and that I am mocking them for not wanting to buy things here.
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Cramer on BloggingStocks: Stunning elections put health care names back in play
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says stocks like WellPoint are buys again because the months of rhetoric will end.
Buy WellPoint (NYSE: WLP) (Cramer's Take). Right now. That's what I thought the moment I saw Chris Christie's shocking triumph in my home state last night. It was a stunning referendum of the anti-jobs nature of health care and how the Democrats are now being tagged with job losses and a health care obsession that hurts hiring.
Not everyone has a seat as safe as Nancy Pelosi. Many have seats thought to be as safe as Corzine's. They have to be shaking today.
Buy WellPoint (NYSE: WLP) (Cramer's Take). Right now. That's what I thought the moment I saw Chris Christie's shocking triumph in my home state last night. It was a stunning referendum of the anti-jobs nature of health care and how the Democrats are now being tagged with job losses and a health care obsession that hurts hiring.
Not everyone has a seat as safe as Nancy Pelosi. Many have seats thought to be as safe as Corzine's. They have to be shaking today.
Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Stunning elections put health care names back in play
Cramer on BloggingStocks: Going it alone isn't always wise
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says opportunistic mergers help deliver value to shareholders during difficult times.
The companies aren't oblivious to this difficult environment. It isn't just that they look at the futures and say, "Uh oh, here comes another bad one" -- the reaction we all feel today. No, it doesn't work like that. They realize that growth's been lowered worldwide and that they can't do it on their own because they don't have critical mass and they have to give up and get together with others in their industries to bring out value.
Black & Decker (NYSE: BDK) (Cramer's Take) and Encore (NYSE: EAC) (Cramer's Take) came to this exact same conclusion at the same time. They just can't make more money for their shareholders independently than they can with other partners. With Encore settling for Denbury's (NYSE: DNR) (Cramer's Take) bid and Black & Decker agreeing to be acquired by Stanley Works (NYSE: SWK) (Cramer's Take), both are settling for about half of what their companies were worth two years ago. But the world has changed in two years, and a lot of the rosy scenarios that justified being independent have to be reconsidered.
The companies aren't oblivious to this difficult environment. It isn't just that they look at the futures and say, "Uh oh, here comes another bad one" -- the reaction we all feel today. No, it doesn't work like that. They realize that growth's been lowered worldwide and that they can't do it on their own because they don't have critical mass and they have to give up and get together with others in their industries to bring out value.
Black & Decker (NYSE: BDK) (Cramer's Take) and Encore (NYSE: EAC) (Cramer's Take) came to this exact same conclusion at the same time. They just can't make more money for their shareholders independently than they can with other partners. With Encore settling for Denbury's (NYSE: DNR) (Cramer's Take) bid and Black & Decker agreeing to be acquired by Stanley Works (NYSE: SWK) (Cramer's Take), both are settling for about half of what their companies were worth two years ago. But the world has changed in two years, and a lot of the rosy scenarios that justified being independent have to be reconsidered.
Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Going it alone isn't always wise
Cramer on BloggingStocks: Assigning blame after Friday's market plunge
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer wonders whether the big selloff was caused by anxious managers locking in profits.
What happens if it is was mostly lock-in action? What if the big themes that everyone so feared weren't so big, and that the selloff -- so ugly, with so much damage -- was just technical and remains that way?
Besides my oft-repeated statement that I don't expect a pullback to exceed 7%, I think this market didn't make a lot of sense last week.
Here were the big themes: dollar getting stronger, causing a decline in minerals and resources; industrials faltering; recession stocks roaring back.
What happens if it is was mostly lock-in action? What if the big themes that everyone so feared weren't so big, and that the selloff -- so ugly, with so much damage -- was just technical and remains that way?
Besides my oft-repeated statement that I don't expect a pullback to exceed 7%, I think this market didn't make a lot of sense last week.
Here were the big themes: dollar getting stronger, causing a decline in minerals and resources; industrials faltering; recession stocks roaring back.
Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Assigning blame after Friday's market plunge
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