Gary Shilling
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Economist Gary Shilling has agreed to share with BloggingStocks his 18 investment strategies for 2011, beginning with Gary Shilling's Investment Strategies for 2011. But he will only be revealing them a little at a time, over the next few weeks, so check back often!

My investment strategies for 2011 are driven by my forecasts for the economies and financial markets here and abroad. In my view, the overarching reality that will dominate 2011 and, indeed, the next decade or so is financial deleveraging, as spelled out in my new book, The Age of Deleveraging: Investment Strategies for a Decade of Slow Growth and Deflation, which was published in November 2010 by John Wiley & Sons.

Economist Gary Shilling has agreed to share with BloggingStocks his 18 investment strategies for 2011, beginning with Gary Shilling's Investment Strategies for 2011. But he will only be revealing them a little at a time, over the next few weeks, so check back often!

My investment strategies for 2011 are driven by my forecasts for the economies and financial markets here and abroad. In my view, the overarching reality that will dominate 2011 and, indeed, the next decade or so is financial deleveraging, as spelled out in my new book, The Age of Deleveraging: Investment Strategies for a Decade of Slow growth and Deflation, which was published in November 2010 by John Wiley & Sons.

Economist Gary Shilling has agreed to share with BloggingStocks his 18 investment strategies for 2011, beginning with Gary Shilling's Investment Strategies for 2011. But he will only be revealing them a little at a time, over the next few weeks, so check back often!

My investment strategies for 2011 are driven by my forecasts for the economies and financial markets here and abroad. In my view, the overarching reality that will dominate 2011 and, indeed, the next decade or so is financial deleveraging, as spelled out in my new book, The Age of Deleveraging: Investment Strategies for a Decade of Slow Growth and Deflation, which was published in November 2010 by John Wiley & Sons.

Editors note: Economist Gary Shilling has agreed to share with BloggingStocks his 18 investment strategies for 2011. But he will only be revealing them a little at a time, over the next few weeks, so check back often!

My investment strategies for 2011 are driven by my forecasts for the economies and financial markets here and abroad. In my view, the overarching reality that will dominate 2011 and, indeed, the next decade or so is financial deleveraging, as spelled out in my new book, The Age of Deleveraging: Investment strategies for a decade of slow growth and deflation, which was published in November 2010 by John Wiley & Sons.

In projecting U.S. GDP growth at about a 2% rate for the remainder of this year and in 2011, I have noted that the two propellants of growth so far in this economic recovery -- the inventory revival and fiscal stimuli -- are largely exhausted.

But are there other sectors of the economy that might serve as the backbone of any meaningful economic recovery? I don't see any, especially with U.S. consumers continuing their saving spree, repaying debts and remaining hesitant to spend like they did during the boom times of earlier years.

In my new book, The Age of Deleveraging: Investment Strategies for an Era of Slow Growth and Deflation, I discuss nine reasons for slow U.S. economic growth and real GDP gains of about 2% annually in the long run.

1. U.S. consumers will shift from a 25-year borrowing-and-spending binge to a saving spree. This will spread abroad as American consumers curtail the imports of the goods and services many foreign nations depend on for economic growth.

With mortgage refinancing applications up recently and house prices on the rise in recent months, some might believe there is reason to be optimistic about the struggling housing sector. I don't subscribe to this belief. Instead, I look for delinquencies and foreclosures to spike in the slow economic growth, high unemployment quarters that probably lie ahead.

Already, real estate owned (REO) by lenders due to foreclosures -- perhaps the most hated term among bankers -- is climbing. Estimates are that a major share of the 7 million houses that have delinquent mortgages or are in some stage of foreclosure, as well as those yet to come, will be dumped on the market, adding to the already huge excessive inventory glut. Some 4.5 million loans are now in foreclosure or at least 90 days delinquent.